TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca0c…b9b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT8235.4%29 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.43
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+99%+$147.57
Will Solana reach $110 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$108.92
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.14
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.97
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.44
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$31.65
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$12.55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$9.93
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will XRP dip to $1.30 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$121.86
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$4.46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$14.07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$6.06
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$31.2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$12.99
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$7.28
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Bbacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$3.35
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.25
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6.95
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$14
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$23.2
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$21.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dominik Szoboszlai: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.