Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b1c8fa8d8131175e0d55913d2daf2967c041663fad3f8cf197be96a0847b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University Warof University War, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed University War | 34c | 512.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed KRÜ Spark | 65c | 473.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed KRÜ Spark | 24c | 324.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed KRÜ Spark | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked University War | 35c | 279.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Spark | 25c | 267.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked KRÜ Spark | 26c | 251.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed University War | 54c | 185.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed University War | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KRÜ Spark | 42c | 83.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 25c | 58.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…8064backed University War | 60c | 51.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed KRÜ Spark | 35c | 45.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked KRÜ Spark | 55c | 34.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed University War | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked University War | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked KRÜ Spark | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark (BO5) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 WinnerUniversity War won
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 WinnerUniversity War won
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark - Map 4 WinnerUniversity War won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.