Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb80c14c1497596d2b10533873c6ffca9dadf062807ffb104a9c86e04fae7d89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,154,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,684,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,154,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfed8…4388backed No | 59c | 191,766$112,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,269.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 23c | 160,786$37,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,739.63 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 22c | 160,257$34,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,652.02 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 6c | 125,824$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 123,447$29,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,707.64 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 63c | 121,587$76,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,730.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 2c | 101,118$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.86 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…3144backed Yes | 4c | 52,601$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 5c | 40,334$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.95 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 31c | 31,184$9,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,593.32 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 44c | 27,000$11,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,203.79 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 40c | 22,300$9,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…f752backed Yes | 1c | 19,889$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 12c | 19,449$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 15,336$6,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.41 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 27c | 13,795$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.85 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,541$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 58c | 11,063$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 31c | 11,062$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 1c | 10,747$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…4dd3backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 20c | 9,860$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.23 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…4991backed Yes | 40c | 9,701$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 14c | 9,286$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 6c | 9,112$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.4 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…1cc1backed Yes | 8c | 8,799$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.7 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,633$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 5c | 8,301$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked Yes | 4c | 8,152$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…b6afbacked Yes | 1c | 7,853$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 7,361$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.33 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 3c | 7,134$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 6,874$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Yes | 6c | 6,621$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 2c | 6,418$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 6,376$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 2c | 6,269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 6,019$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.79 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…57c0backed Yes | 12c | 5,667$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,531$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…c5c4backed No | 61c | 5,386$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…76e6backed Yes | 6c | 5,374$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 2c | 5,365$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…5146backed Yes | 6c | 5,105$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,062$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.25 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…9538backed Yes | 29c | 5,047$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dc…f5b5backed Yes | 16c | 5,046$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3d…5deebacked Yes | 10c | 5,019$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 6c | 4,904$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 10c | 4,838$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.19 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…cc11backed Yes | 2c | 4,706$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…8276backed Yes | 2c | 4,639$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 4,441$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.23 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked No | 80c | 4,300$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 6c | 4,234$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,201$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 22c | 4,095$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.07 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 7c | 4,058$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…7030backed Yes | 8c | 4,030$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 13c | 3,930$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 58c | 3,640$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b265backed Yes | 1c | 3,629$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…867fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,558$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 14c | 3,420$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,091$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,069$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 12c | 2,733$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,516$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 59c | 2,498$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.22 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes | 11c | 2,497$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…64aebacked Yes | 9c | 2,495$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 2,469$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…0077backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,398$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,330$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 12c | 2,277$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…dc03backed Yes | 11c | 2,252$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…4bc9backed Yes | 7c | 2,216$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…92fbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,065$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 42c | 2,005$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.1 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…1856backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…8465backed Yes | 11c | 1,850$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…df52backed Yes | 46c | 1,848$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 7c | 1,766$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,740$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e114backed Yes | 10c | 1,719$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…08e9backed Yes | 6c | 1,702$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…d7a0backed Yes | 69c | 1,670$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 11c | 1,577$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…36f2backed No | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 9c | 1,510$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 34c | 1,498$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…effabacked Yes | 20c | 1,476$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,464$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked Yes | 67c | 1,446$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…9815backed Yes | 1c | 1,360$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.