Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c56930693777443c84bc172003442d9e317476fdcf59c9b26a60034001d9c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,198,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,110,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 13c | 100,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 13c | 82,069$10,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,957.18 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 63c | 62,805$39,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,214.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 19c | 42,505$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.02 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 16c | 34,464$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.57 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…a3e6backed Yes | 0c | 20,141$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 20c | 19,492$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.32 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 22c | 18,125$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.5 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…eda6backed Yes | 5c | 17,467$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 16c | 16,995$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.32 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…4c1abacked No | 74c | 13,694$10,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 15c | 12,334$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.8 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 22c | 11,995$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.88 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 3c | 11,046$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 1c | 10,209$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes | 22c | 9,630$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…90cfbacked Yes | 10c | 9,149$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 53c | 8,622$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.79 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…674ebacked Yes | 16c | 7,194$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,871$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,538$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 11c | 6,249$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.87 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 15c | 6,100$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.22 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 31c | 5,237$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.84 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,190$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 5c | 5,120$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.79 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 29c | 5,001$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…624cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,990$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…29cdbacked Yes | 15c | 4,894$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 10c | 4,781$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 16c | 4,759$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 59c | 4,593$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 13c | 4,582$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.88 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 4,319$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 77c | 4,301$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.63 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 4,200$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.62 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,930$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…ccbdbacked Yes | 34c | 3,774$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 14c | 3,728$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,601$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…cdd5backed Yes | 11c | 3,442$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…7ec2backed Yes | 15c | 3,380$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…52b5backed Yes | 11c | 3,321$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,919$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 2,737$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 41c | 2,602$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.65 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…0b47backed No | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,232$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 2,199$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf47…4bc6backed Yes | 41c | 2,168$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…0644backed Yes | 11c | 1,792$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…c697backed No | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Yes | 8c | 1,630$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…1dd8backed Yes | 18c | 1,592$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Yes | 13c | 1,384$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed No | 61c | 1,316$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…8a73backed Yes | 8c | 1,306$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked No | 67c | 1,291$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…7072backed Yes | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x601b…d916backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…3a48backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,237$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,177$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 3c | 1,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…46bebacked Yes | 12c | 1,059$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…6f16backed Yes | 3c | 999.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…3a0abacked No | 80c | 937.24$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.12 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…2309backed Yes | 19c | 822.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Yes | 26c | 814.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 10c | 800$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 29c | 790.49$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…7cf0backed Yes | 16c | 781.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed Yes | 8c | 741$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 71c | 719.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.19 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 715.39$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 20c | 706.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 10c | 697.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…0d48backed Yes | 14c | 697$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 2c | 683.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…08acbacked No | 70c | 671.74$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…d361backed Yes | 13c | 670.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…c174backed Yes | 16c | 668.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…ec4dbacked Yes | 10c | 636.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…4577backed No | 79c | 632.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…8b69backed No | 69c | 625.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…19dabacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…3782backed Yes | 3c | 607$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Yes | 4c | 572.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 10c | 535.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…1fedbacked Yes | 12c | 517.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cc…e9a2backed Yes | 5c | 506.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 25c | 500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.