Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f3358cf377f74c645a4f5a197ca305fdef0eb069096719ccdb0f08f5f956df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $816,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $816,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 52,552$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.51 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Yes | 2c | 31,727$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.19 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 3c | 28,105$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.51 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 4c | 19,494$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 4c | 15,228$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.69 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 4c | 12,445$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.09 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 11,523$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 11,341$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…1ffebacked Yes | 4c | 10,972$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,576$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…241fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,342$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,140$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 4c | 10,124$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 3c | 9,133$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 9,042$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 8,787$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 6c | 8,620$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.44 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 4c | 8,550$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 6c | 7,039$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 6,799$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 6,563$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 3c | 6,500$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 7c | 6,054$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 5,121$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 4,630$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 4,099$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,865$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…cb1ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,833$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 3,778$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…9b82backed Yes | 3c | 3,528$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,254$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 3,077$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,001$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 6c | 2,985$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.17 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…b65cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,942$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,910$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…44b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,844$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…b117backed Yes | 6c | 2,769$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 2,175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…37d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 2c | 2,061$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,018$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…9084backed Yes | 1c | 2,001$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…bb0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,974$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…b4cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,963$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…52b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,948$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…3c3bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,889$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,765$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,750$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,726$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ddb9backed Yes | 3c | 1,356$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,355$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…d1c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…20dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a1…6acabacked Yes | 4c | 1,128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…f78cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 3c | 1,089$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,064$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…308bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,023$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…381cbacked Yes | 2c | 984.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…1cc1backed Yes | 3c | 933.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…46bebacked Yes | 5c | 857.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…64d7backed Yes | 1c | 810$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Yes | 1c | 795.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…775cbacked Yes | 5c | 777$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…cfdbbacked Yes | 7c | 749.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cc…e9a2backed Yes | 3c | 710.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 706.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…e225backed Yes | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…ccbdbacked Yes | 5c | 639.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a2c2backed Yes | 5c | 608.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +794.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 7c | 597.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 553.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…d7a2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…60ddbacked Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 2c | 499.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…33bfbacked Yes | 2c | 475.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +216.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…9cfbbacked Yes | 4c | 472.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…e368backed Yes | 3c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dd…0724backed Yes | 3c | 426.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 412$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…de12backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 3c | 386.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…a6b7backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 6c | 333$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…8a7ebacked Yes | 7c | 247.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e454backed Yes | 5c | 219.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…59b0backed Yes | 5c | 210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 6c | 205.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 6c | 191.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.