TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92bb…1afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category IPO at 50 out of 100; worst Tweets at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT400%0 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $160 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT380%0 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$94.4
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.