Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb01e70a56199a6d5467f47a2b94e75e7c7218c128c8d0b8beb6dafed2f0d15c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,740,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,486,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,740,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,586,083$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 1,474,664$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.46 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…7f12backed Yes | 0c | 1,397,144$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 1,379,066$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.81 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 1,291,022$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.07 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 1,120,271$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.82 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…e4bcbacked Yes | 0c | 940,070$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed Yes | 0c | 850,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…e124backed Yes | 0c | 639,207$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 586,378$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.37 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 0c | 499,997$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…776bbacked Yes | 0c | 454,420$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked Yes | 0c | 370,219$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.66 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 345,793$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…3690backed Yes | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 0c | 260,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…9209backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…5f9dbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…4498backed Yes | 0c | 249,234$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…2fffbacked Yes | 0c | 241,877$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 187,500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8fa8backed Yes | 0c | 156,990$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 155,009$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.68 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…27ddbacked Yes | 0c | 134,333$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…0eabbacked Yes | 1c | 104,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…2467backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…b0cbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…6b1fbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa064…d164backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 1c | 89,500$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…fe63backed Yes | 1c | 79,699$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 1c | 79,360$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…3dd1backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 0c | 61,911$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 60,017$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 58,207$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 55,684$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 53,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…77bbbacked Yes | 0c | 52,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…ff57backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…d531backed Yes | 1c | 48,168$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…06a3backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119c…2d4abacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 1c | 38,878$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 1c | 36,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…24f8backed Yes | 0c | 36,316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…57a1backed Yes | 0c | 35,263$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…19e3backed Yes | 0c | 34,767$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…ea52backed Yes | 0c | 34,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…410bbacked Yes | 1c | 27,035$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,020$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0d48backed Yes | 0c | 26,800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…997ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…92e9backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…cb13backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…70b9backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…aab5backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…736bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…97cbbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcb…62ecbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…1f5cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,900$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…7708backed Yes | 1c | 23,293$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 1c | 22,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 21,666$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…d73cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…3852backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…0ccabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…747cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9768…1b82backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da0…2338backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…f446backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed Yes | 1c | 19,643$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…913cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,083$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 16,807$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…b450backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 0c | 15,847$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -86%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed Yes | 0c | 15,333$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…d5c1backed Yes | 1c | 15,144$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…b43dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,127$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…c308backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 0c | 14,561$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…baa9backed Yes | 0c | 14,280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…6032backed Yes | 0c | 13,750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…ec29backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…bb97backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…af8cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…396abacked Yes | 0c | 12,438$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…b9d6backed Yes | 1c | 12,143$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…92cbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…32f9backed Yes | 0c | 11,355$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…c929backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…ef2abacked Yes | 0c | 10,310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd6…d707backed Yes | 0c | 10,150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.