Fed Rates · resolved market
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,061,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,540,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,061,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,038 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed No | 1c | 2,322,865$11,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,963.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…3413backed No | 0c | 1,800,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed No | 0c | 1,626,691$7,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,664.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…65d2backed No | 1c | 1,553,953$14,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,231.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 1c | 854,256$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,415.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e1…5baebacked No | 0c | 583,000$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8fa8backed No | 0c | 458,620$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…7f92backed No | 1c | 400,099$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 2c | 371,310$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…cc13backed No | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495e…9a96backed No | 0c | 310,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 1c | 303,656$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3312backed No | 0c | 300,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 298,562$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.16 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -95.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 0c | 295,475$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.22 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 1c | 251,665$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e7…2c77backed No | 0c | 238,950$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…a078backed No | 0c | 234,746$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…0376backed No | 1c | 216,695$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 1c | 210,588$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…962dbacked No | 1c | 209,321$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…665fbacked No | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…5fa6backed No | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed No | 1c | 189,129$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…5eb3backed No | 1c | 177,987$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked No | 2c | 165,508$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.29 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 3c | 162,634$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.21 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…ad7fbacked No | 1c | 154,216$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…983ebacked No | 0c | 150,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked No | 1c | 144,000$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked No | 1c | 131,400$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…4f4bbacked No | 1c | 124,290$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 1c | 122,652$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.26 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed No | 1c | 119,993$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 1c | 113,306$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.34 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…4f89backed No | 0c | 113,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…9900backed No | 0c | 111,073$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…4496backed No | 1c | 110,911$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…27ddbacked No | 1c | 109,027$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed No | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 3c | 95,732$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed No | 1c | 91,654$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed No | 2c | 89,867$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 3c | 87,494$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…6e7dbacked No | 1c | 86,804$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…e818backed No | 0c | 86,126$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…79fbbacked Yes | 47c | 85,895$40,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,524.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 2c | 82,593$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.44 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 2c | 81,482$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…6a3dbacked No | 1c | 80,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…1699backed No | 0c | 78,693$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed No | 1c | 74,332$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 73,849$33,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,625.52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed No | 1c | 71,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ea…5d08backed No | 0c | 70,210$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…4806backed No | 1c | 67,394$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…9a76backed No | 2c | 66,059$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…52c4backed No | 1c | 63,096$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…dbfabacked No | 1c | 62,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…cee3backed No | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf8…fb62backed No | 2c | 59,754$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.65 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…673cbacked No | 1c | 58,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 2c | 57,422$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d9…2851backed No | 2c | 55,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa3…4de8backed No | 0c | 52,667$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked No | 1c | 52,567$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18b…563ebacked No | 0c | 51,863$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 1c | 51,708$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…7e7dbacked No | 1c | 50,100$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…83b5backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…b0cbbacked No | 1c | 49,873$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…38aebacked No | 7c | 48,143$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 2c | 47,884$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.51 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked No | 2c | 47,044$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.32 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed No | 3c | 46,045$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked No | 0c | 44,145$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…cac9backed No | 1c | 43,796$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…93ecbacked No | 0c | 43,270$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 42,703$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…8fbebacked No | 1c | 42,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed No | 1c | 40,057$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…76acbacked No | 0c | 39,835$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef01…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 38,723$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701d…7617backed No | 0c | 38,722$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…c42bbacked No | 1c | 37,870$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…38e9backed No | 0c | 37,630$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…c646backed No | 0c | 37,490$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…736bbacked No | 1c | 36,774$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…d5fabacked No | 2c | 36,728$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 2c | 34,999$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed No | 1c | 34,941$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…ccb0backed No | 3c | 34,929$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…9cffbacked No | 1c | 34,617$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…d34abacked No | 53c | 34,600$18,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,338 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 1c | 34,268$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…26bdbacked No | 0c | 33,770$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9768…1b82backed No | 1c | 32,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…0772backed No | 0c | 31,950$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.