TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7f4…bc90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,371
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,008
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,544
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$631.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,879Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$2,776.93
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$1,874.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$5,026.82
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$260.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$2,174.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+281%+$1,910.22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+202.4%+$2,705.05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$597.52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$136.56
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$415.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$114.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+213.1%+$63.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+265.2%+$79.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$118
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.62
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.16
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.52
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.38
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.95
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$190.21
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.82
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.92
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.04
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,131.62
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$114.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$160.81
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,257.14
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.32
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,545.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$995
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$441
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.62
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$807
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.