Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06bb60be7cd70ea277107e3e222dc85d594fd0f503f944bf2d2fe270bc32c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x030a…aad9backed Yes | 1c | 9,605$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…e93dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,599$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248f…c38dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,401$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…1ab4backed Yes | 3c | 4,106$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 28c | 1,512$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 1c | 1,262$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 8c | 799.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…0918backed Yes | 20c | 599.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…05f1backed Yes | 15c | 500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 26c | 482.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…3954backed Yes | 7c | 467.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 420.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 71c | 409.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 404.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 356$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…4965backed Yes | 19c | 336.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…6282backed Yes | 20c | 313.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 313.29$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 306.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 30c | 265$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…7864backed Yes | 44c | 264.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 33c | 249.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 25c | 237.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 13c | 227.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 29c | 217.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 203.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 40c | 200.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…496bbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 31c | 196.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 14c | 194.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 67c | 193.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 55c | 193.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 62c | 189.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 182.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked No | 75c | 181.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 174.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 20c | 170.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…4a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 170.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…c0dabacked Yes | 22c | 165.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…bafbbacked Yes | 29c | 160.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 79c | 142.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…ab63backed Yes | 33c | 140.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 19c | 132.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 116.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 67c | 112.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 74c | 104.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…6e54backed Yes | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…5a62backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…9848backed Yes | 12c | 99.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed Yes | 20c | 98.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 13c | 95.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…7bfbbacked Yes | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…35e7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 62c | 87.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 79.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 21c | 78.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 68c | 76.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 22c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 58c | 72.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…f68abacked Yes | 37c | 70.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 57c | 70.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…844ebacked No | 79c | 69.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7c…b118backed Yes | 22c | 68.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed Yes | 23c | 66.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…255dbacked No | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…73d9backed No | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 34c | 63.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 19c | 63.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 62.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 79c | 62.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 22c | 62.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…2860backed Yes | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955a…ff6abacked Yes | 27c | 56.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked No | 64c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…8209backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2288backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 48.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 67c | 45.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 44.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…692bbacked No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…d084backed Yes | 30c | 40.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…bf9fbacked No | 48c | 40.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…769ebacked No | 79c | 37.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…c003backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 78c | 35.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…df19backed No | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.