TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32ca…2f70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT8459.5%50 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$25.78
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$18.28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$27.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$19.73
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$32.33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$73.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+243.1%+$36.47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$109.57
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$144.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.