Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31743c7bb0f88d9399e67cb1b55335b724b273da18ce953cb4d2e0f19f8afebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,974,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,974,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 18c | 150,000$27,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,639.89 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 16c | 85,244$13,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,632.92 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 82,500$15,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,030.2 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 15c | 82,127$12,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,348.8 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 21c | 76,295$16,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,021.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 21c | 74,733$15,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,693.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 79c | 60,000$47,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 14c | 44,952$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.03 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 79c | 40,000$31,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 19c | 36,828$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 80c | 36,440$29,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,436.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 16c | 34,506$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.05 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 21c | 33,020$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,934.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 16c | 30,110$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 28,926$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.67 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 19c | 25,711$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.42 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 21c | 24,679$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.58 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 16c | 21,485$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.13 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 20c | 21,023$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 80c | 20,771$16,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.29 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked No | 20c | 17,504$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 17c | 17,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…83b0backed No | 19c | 15,730$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 12c | 15,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 79c | 12,160$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.7 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 77c | 10,000$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 15c | 9,769$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…5ffabacked Yes | 79c | 8,594$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 18c | 8,451$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.15 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 79c | 7,063$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 6,709$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.23 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 17c | 6,328$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…ad4cbacked No | 0c | 5,051$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Yes | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 80c | 4,977$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 20c | 4,935$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…832abacked Yes | 79c | 4,831$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 18c | 4,654$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 12c | 4,553$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 21c | 4,536$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed No | 14c | 4,169$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 12c | 4,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed No | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 20c | 4,000$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 0c | 3,879$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 3,860$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.98 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 14c | 3,725$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked No | 18c | 3,660$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 19c | 3,279$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.35 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 75c | 2,933$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 14c | 2,920$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 2,915$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 20c | 2,790$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 21c | 2,670$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed No | 19c | 2,653$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 13c | 2,629$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.78 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 13c | 2,477$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.91 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,368$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 13c | 2,287$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 18c | 2,082$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…160abacked No | 9c | 2,056$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 80c | 2,013$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 4c | 1,886$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 3c | 1,617$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed No | 18c | 1,561$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 21c | 1,547$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 16c | 1,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 79c | 1,405$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 26c | 1,385$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed No | 21c | 1,335$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 14c | 1,307$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 3c | 1,300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 22c | 1,264$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…a09ebacked No | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a78…4353backed Yes | 79c | 1,179$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 13c | 1,150$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 75c | 1,050$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…422cbacked No | 6c | 900$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…8c09backed No | 20c | 850.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 16c | 822.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +197%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 17c | 770.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.