TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf24b…d4ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11,052Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$18,309.8
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.3%+$912.93
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.63
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.8%+$1,630.23
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
1H Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,331.2
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73.4%+$734.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$814
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+105.2%+$23.14
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+84.2%+$18.53
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.9%+$135.93
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$344.65
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,030.3
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$145.77
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$250
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$150
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$304.87
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$185.88
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,183.83
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT5246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.56
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$2,642.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,065.39
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,374.56
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$728.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+64.8%+$129.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$430.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$2,452.92
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,956
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$999.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+91.7%+$1,989.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$366.65
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$199.71
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.1%+$559.45
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$7,054
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.1%+$5,984.59
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$2,739.86
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,335.78
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+254.7%+$3,969.79
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+36.5%+$1,236.55
Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+234%+$1,652.63
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,348.67
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.2%+$405.27
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$501
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,009.03
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,251
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$866.52
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$559
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$505
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+157.2%+$524.01
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+125.5%+$568.31
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,679.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,590
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+181.8%+$1,272.78
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,316.15
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,260.67
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$7,307.04
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$5,622.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,294.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$339.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$2,548.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.8%+$1,724.03
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$281
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,004.36
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$445
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,550
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$786.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$514.01
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$1,911.71
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,115.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,833.33
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+62.4%+$517.83
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+43.2%+$109.98
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.1%+$39.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$198.59
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.2%+$225.14
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.1%+$432.85
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,635
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$715.91
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+45%+$674.53
Will FC København win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$707.48
Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Galatasaray SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$651.59
Galatasaray SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+55.8%+$680.82
Will Brøndby IF vs. Randers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$248.78
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$547
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$372
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+98.4%+$531.37
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,943.26
Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,217.8
Will Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$113.69
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$153.31
Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.4%+$94.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,736Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.3%+$719.65
Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.97
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.4%+$78.51
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$375.37
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$248.68
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+79.5%+$660.27
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,718.3
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$411.11
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$347
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+55.4%+$55.41
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$150
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+137.8%+$633.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,738.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,842Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.3%+$4,982.79
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,746.85
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$901
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$592.66
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,171.3
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180.35
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+70%+$361.09
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.3%+$214.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$295.06
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$305.84
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$572.7
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+99%+$821.53
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$782
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64.3%+$192.95
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.1%+$631.33
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.8%+$308.25
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+150.7%+$194.34
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+70.4%+$10.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35%+$2,512.92
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$8,400.09
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,990.7
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,782Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$3,916.16
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+32%+$3,747.81
Will KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+67.5%+$472.32
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+70.5%+$131.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.5%+$763.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,621Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$2,380.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.