TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,245 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No56c79,887$44,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,627.729159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes45c56,080$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,079.834139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c39,211$21,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,843.9352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c34,960$21,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,083.1971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c33,905$15,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,899.5224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c17,300$8,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,674.661,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No56c15,205$8,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,564.483050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No55c13,994$7,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,735.321144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed No57c9,830$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,624.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Yes44c9,790$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes44c9,091$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,090.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c8,438$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.7287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.985156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No57c7,615$4,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes46c7,287$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.6212738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes42c5,803$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.5412839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Yes45c5,556$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No57c5,313$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.157529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes73c4,624$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.553650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed No31c4,520$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No18c4,440$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1115048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes44c4,400$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes44c3,280$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.249747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6205060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7104252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No57c2,942$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.9415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3753036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No28c2,272$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.777138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No56c2,186$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.0729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1207549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes45c1,773$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.954170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No57c1,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes43c1,512$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.636349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No56c1,499$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.382751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No23c1,488$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes74c1,486$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.491586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c1,422$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c1,308$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.624122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes44c1,239$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.642661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c1,198$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.6423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes76c999.75$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c993$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No55c950$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.560%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4178…c0d2backed Yes44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Yes44c899.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes45c893.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.945135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c877.32$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd94b…25eebacked Yes44c813.07$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No55c727$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.854837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes42c720$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.62343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c704.52$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No55c702.74$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.512536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38510545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes69c640.79$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes43c634$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.584841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c599.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c562.9$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No57c461$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.779553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes44c452.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.274723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes43c450$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.643655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No20c442.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.232352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0135…6affbacked Yes45c395.47$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes44c386.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.369447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes44c344.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.123129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No57c339.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f7…80d2backed Yes45c328$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c307.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No57c302.31$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes44c301$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.671384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes44c288.64$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.641526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No44c286.31$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5311753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No56c281.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.396368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes45c277.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.782470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes76c271.1$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.952259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No54c270$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc262…c638backed Yes74c260.09$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes45c260.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+49%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a7c…4abbbacked No58c248.73$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Yes77c245.13$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes46c243.41$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.471540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.