Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a54b5c537074635e031021f21337d912b7399751e7f72294d7f774a8e497174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,101 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 8,455$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 74c | 5,410$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 3,273$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.87 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 27c | 2,927$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 73c | 2,734$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 27c | 1,910$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 16c | 1,877$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 1,126$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 1,086$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 899.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 71c | 857$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.53 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 71c | 830$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 799.99$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 695.23$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 592.83$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 585.17$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…f012backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 18c | 525$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 525$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 478.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…8a4fbacked Yes | 27c | 456.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…0b7fbacked Yes | 27c | 435.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 410.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 390.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 359.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812b…256cbacked Yes | 28c | 342.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 256.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 14c | 249.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…3d32backed No | 74c | 165.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…813ebacked No | 74c | 155.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 9c | 154.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…3fb3backed No | 74c | 151.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 20c | 146.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…1903backed No | 74c | 144.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…f00fbacked No | 74c | 140.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 28c | 136.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e88backed No | 74c | 135.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 130.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 77c | 129.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 22c | 127.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…53f3backed Yes | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 91.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…95d0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 76.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 27c | 76.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 21c | 67.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 19c | 53.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…ef00backed No | 74c | 51.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 47.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 47.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 44.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…d879backed No | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 74c | 22.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.