TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,422 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No79c4,675$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.6971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No70c2,661$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes29c2,555$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c2,082$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.536141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,050$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c1,305$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57c…3e7dbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c1,173$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30526660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,106$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.11,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c1,000$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8811735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes29c904.13$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes9c893.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.44520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c809$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes29c795$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5513844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No71c769.12$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.123256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c706$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes25c699.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c617.96$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c567$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.429863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c529.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c499.27$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…0b78backed Yes31c456.81$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes11c455.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91b…af31backed Yes31c385.62$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes29c346.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.353360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Yes31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes30c316.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c282.85$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c279.29$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked No70c254.29$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.299846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes29c240$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.62528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked Yes11c218$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9860%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes29c192.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe12…c26fbacked No70c183.18$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes8c154.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9e…13d2backed No69c152.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes11c150.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.552326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c144.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c4…3d41backed No70c139.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed No72c137.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…bbbbbacked No70c134.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2042…f9e7backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…c0a0backed No69c128.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed No72c124.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.824052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No72c117.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x574d…1227backed Yes31c114.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x102b…b157backed Yes30c114$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf54…ac36backed No69c104.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes30c97.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.197138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…c8bbbacked Yes12c81.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c60…ba30backed Yes32c79.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No70c77.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.372962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef5…0366backed Yes31c74.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed No71c73.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No70c71.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.537746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No72c69.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No69c67.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.624969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6618245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes30c58.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Yes31c53.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.462166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed No72c43.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed No70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf359…181abacked No71c41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc799…9f97backed No71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed No71c35.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd67…e9f4backed No71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc1…abbbbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No72c31.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.586368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa230…f19fbacked No70c28.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3f…a5b2backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d0…4b71backed No73c27.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No70c24.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.49256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No68c23.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.657853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2714057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…46e2backed No69c14.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.