TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x574d…1227

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.39
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.73
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$101.56
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.95
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20.99
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18.12
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$32.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$87.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+84.9%+$21.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.96
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.72
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$7.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.