TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c10,510$6,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,595.51,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes37c10,197$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,424.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c9,629$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.865,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No62c6,452$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9510846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c5,499$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.938,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes37c3,652$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.023925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes38c3,203$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes38c2,720$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.193762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c2,078$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.542,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes36c2,010$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.051717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No61c1,997$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c1,987$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes62c1,650$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.925851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No18c1,611$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.961,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c1,539$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.111,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94524053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4778…b5dbbacked Yes37c1,481$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No31c1,204$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.672,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No39c1,058$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.586355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No63c1,047$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4116558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes65c1,014$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.046048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes38c1,013$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.063243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes36c999.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.9914945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No64c978.11$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2423057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No61c948.99$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.033,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes66c943.01$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes75c898.34$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.978740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Yes39c853.57$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No39c822.82$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c800$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes62c788.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.799562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes38c760.11$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.274450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes39c741.32$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.34634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Yes70c701.6$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes38c633.42$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.7211855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Yes39c632.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c555$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.041,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c525.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.521,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes64c507.85$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31523056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2418452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No38c497.41$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yes62c472.84$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked No42c463.8$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.684533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5fa…da37backed Yes79c416.39$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.322564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c3…196abacked Yes68c403.06$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked Yes61c399.14$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c398.14$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8512331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes37c391.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9512541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes37c390.08$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.758343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No45c380.8$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.266235.5%22 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No61c380.39$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0433560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked No8c345.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c340.87$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.411,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No63c335.63$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c328.54$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.121,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No8c323.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes39c320.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes64c307.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7110648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc78…c479backed Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No36c285.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.71,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No57c278.22$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c270.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.431,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Yes38c259.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.171136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes73c258.42$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.062536%9 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No61c232.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.744850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d0…5b25backed Yes38c224.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.021070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No27c210.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4649535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes60c202.05$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.763250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes61c177.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.814562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No63c171.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1317560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c155.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.81,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed No63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Yes38c154.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.513627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c150.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.611,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Yes37c150.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.413145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc329…0b75backed Yes65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c149.81$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.291,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa990…7750backed Yes38c147.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes59c144$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.45042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked No62c133.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes36c133.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…ef89backed Yes75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.834100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ed…f691backed Yes38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.542532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes38c126.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.544344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes38c125.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.349256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No30c122.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No61c120.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.256842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No61c118.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6534155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes36c103.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.334454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No61c102.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.564452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.