TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00a1…df06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
268
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT15944%70 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.44
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.17
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.26
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.43
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$67.22
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.62
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$40.97
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.81
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.24
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.51
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$161.07
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62.09
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.01
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.81
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.31
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$85.41
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.84
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$66.33
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.13
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$45.42
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$54.36
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$132.28
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$28.87
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$78.14
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.62
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.98
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.74
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.26
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$43.05
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.86
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$20.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.03
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.44
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.83
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$83.01
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20.2
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.9
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$112.36
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.02
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$105.45
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$67
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.25
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$78.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$45.77
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+87.6%+$64.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+76.7%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.