TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked Fluxo W7M46c14,782$6,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,958.72,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LOS54c12,000$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,466.1491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fluxo W7M52c5,040$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.521,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed LOS50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.754756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed LOS31c2,980$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.521,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LOS55c2,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26587844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Fluxo W7M47c2,118$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.8698956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked LOS33c2,109$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.1130357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LOS45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.763546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOS1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOS44c1,821$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.3660354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Fluxo W7M56c1,798$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.6767760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fluxo W7M58c1,776$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.771,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed LOS1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151543.9%6 W · 148 L-0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Fluxo W7M40c1,366$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.5964247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed LOS6c1,250$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Fluxo W7M50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LOS48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Fluxo W7M46c973.76$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.3712953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Fluxo W7M71c966.92$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4145366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOS45c927.04$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.221,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LOS45c920.99$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.8486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LOS41c910.4$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.11,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf13…b18dbacked LOS42c896.75$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.645757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Fluxo W7M51c811.25$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2566458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M41c719.88$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7328042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LOS18c676.26$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4689347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOS47c669.15$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.721,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOS45c668.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOS38c635.24$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.072,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed LOS31c600$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18775738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed LOS35c568.8$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19928638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked LOS62c566.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35095253.8%512 W · 440 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOS13c513$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.692,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked LOS2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed LOS60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed Fluxo W7M76c453.35$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6737957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOS54c443.51$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.781,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LOS30c436.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4869539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed LOS46c421.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2385652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOS35c418.6$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS35c411.26$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6695041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOS50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOS21c396$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.793,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd458…1c90backed Fluxo W7M61c393.75$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.773056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed LOS15c390$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2357222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LOS28c373$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.552,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOS52c365.23$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.531,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Fluxo W7M55c349.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.539447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked LOS14c345.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022843.9%100 W · 128 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Fluxo W7M45c342.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1277545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Fluxo W7M51c340.86$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0270057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LOS50c335.18$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.922,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Fluxo W7M62c323.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.61,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed LOS31c322.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018248.4%88 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LOS33c307.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.932,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked LOS56c304.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed Fluxo W7M50c289.88$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9515656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed LOS34c285.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4718043.3%78 W · 102 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fluxo W7M60c282.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.571,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked Fluxo W7M72c277.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.057357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Fluxo W7M59c269.73$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8115457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fa…26d9backed Fluxo W7M53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.154242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Fluxo W7M76c264.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1556650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Fluxo W7M77c262.36$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.261,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked LOS14c260$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.424137.8%91 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Fluxo W7M77c259.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3141945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed LOS17c250$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.525345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked LOS30c243.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.881,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Fluxo W7M50c220.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5314555.2%80 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Fluxo W7M55c218.64$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1757151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x951a…11f8backed LOS49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M42c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.53,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LOS50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10086649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed LOS22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4443233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf47d…f295backed Fluxo W7M71c199.2$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.961855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LOS27c197.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed LOS26c197.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117040%68 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1933…82c5backed LOS51c195.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOS53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9b…e299backed Fluxo W7M58c184.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.252850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M51c179.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.731,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LOS30c179$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.371,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M52c165.82$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.082,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa95b…0d14backed Fluxo W7M62c143.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.665764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LOS41c143.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.261,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Fluxo W7M48c143.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8546154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed LOS21c142$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8254824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Fluxo W7M72c139.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8941468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Fluxo W7M36c139.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.996434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f7…aebbbacked Fluxo W7M72c138.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9225850.4%130 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M67c134.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked LOS17c130.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5940231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Fluxo W7M47c129.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2738655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LOS50c127$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Fluxo W7M47c121.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7911659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LOS46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.361,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed LOS22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.459740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Fluxo W7M52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3851454.5%280 W · 234 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed LOS39c109.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.665246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.