TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOSof Fluxo W7M, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed Fluxo W7M1c16,666$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6616511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Fluxo W7M1c11,505$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.051330.8%4 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick4cpaid+522.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed LOS77c9,939$7,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.0339964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LOS78c9,225$7,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.541,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Fluxo W7M3c6,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick3cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d5…7146backed Fluxo W7M4c5,590$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.92420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-61.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fluxo W7M22c4,508$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9741,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M46c4,237$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.831,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Fluxo W7M2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801428.6%4 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.25per pick3cpaid+709.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Fluxo W7M2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick5cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fluxo W7M28c3,493$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.371,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Fluxo W7M3c3,250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.54418.2%8 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked LOS63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1101,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Fluxo W7M37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Fluxo W7M2c2,750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Fluxo W7M2c2,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LOS57c2,500$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0851,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Fluxo W7M1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Fluxo W7M38c2,119$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5565047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Fluxo W7M64c2,015$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.151,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Fluxo W7M1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201543.9%6 W · 148 L-0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fluxo W7M1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed LOS62c1,949$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.293043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Fluxo W7M16c1,706$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9817610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked LOS46c1,508$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.3210024%24 W · 76 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Fluxo W7M1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Fluxo W7M1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Fluxo W7M59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88550242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Fluxo W7M27c1,400$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.861,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Fluxo W7M35c1,353$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8117343.4%75 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Fluxo W7M5c1,350$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Fluxo W7M36c1,226$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3611943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Fluxo W7M52c1,209$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.191,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Fluxo W7M15c1,100$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick12cpaid+163.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed LOS64c1,099$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5826961.7%166 W · 103 L+22.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Fluxo W7M55c1,082$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LOS60c1,050$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Fluxo W7M15c1,000$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462425%6 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Fluxo W7M30c981.38$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4124935.3%88 W · 161 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOS56c950$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.517438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed LOS53c947.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.125659%151 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc534…0c0abacked Fluxo W7M61c933.49$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed LOS43c931.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9956650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked Fluxo W7M65c888.7$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9244153.3%235 W · 206 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Fluxo W7M8c886.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5412040%48 W · 72 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Fluxo W7M21c860$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.67949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M37c835.74$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.262,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Fluxo W7M54c788.22$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6885852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed LOS53c787.85$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.61,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOS50c774.93$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2276642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS51c764.74$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7195541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOS55c729.45$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.851,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOS55c720.67$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.891,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Fluxo W7M53c720$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.811445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf13…b18dbacked LOS55c696.46$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.095757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Fluxo W7M7c676.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.921095.5%6 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcae…2397backed LOS70c664.74$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.778051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Fluxo W7M11c650$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick13cpaid+185.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Fluxo W7M32c649.92$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9726246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Fluxo W7M23c570$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7359740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M33c565.72$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.792,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOS53c556.22$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.571,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed LOS27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5624750.2%124 W · 123 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LOS69c545.92$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.271,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOS38c532.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.481,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked LOS61c529.82$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8295353.7%512 W · 441 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Fluxo W7M11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick12cpaid+192.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Fluxo W7M36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed LOS45c500$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.513553.3%72 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed LOS45c486.8$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.943959%23 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5db…0716backed Fluxo W7M39c467.42$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0510343.7%45 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed LOS51c456$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOS51c450$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2857151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Fluxo W7M39c442.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.521,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked Fluxo W7M11c430$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Fluxo W7M23c428$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5454824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fluxo W7M36c406.81$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4540231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Fluxo W7M44c404.92$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9286649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fluxo W7M31c400.32$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.541,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Fluxo W7M26c400$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10543233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Fluxo W7M50c377.77$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3811840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked LOS74c374$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2413454.5%73 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Fluxo W7M48c357.85$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17267853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed LOS46c354.51$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.735246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fluxo W7M33c350$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Fluxo W7M11c343.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2418116%29 W · 152 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked LOS64c328.04$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5454555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Fluxo W7M56c317.86$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.163737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Fluxo W7M24c311$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.424238%92 W · 150 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed LOS62c301.61$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6139861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Fluxo W7M19c300$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.629942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed LOS48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15675738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Fluxo W7M29c299.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5921242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed LOS59c296.64$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.250345.7%230 W · 273 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed LOS54c285$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.461,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed LOS47c273.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1832253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Fluxo W7M74c270.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016750.9%85 W · 82 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Fluxo W7M53c259.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6863746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOS42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed LOS49c250$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2636749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.