TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfed1…eedb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
246
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,287.4
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,542.09
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,650
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28,000
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20,721.67
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,841.88
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,311.84
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,212.94
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,298.97
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,419.91
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,900
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,926Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16,347.63
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,800
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,406
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8,867.5
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16,270.86
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$1,875.31
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,656
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,999.97
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13,379.43
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,999.99
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,535.72
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16,799.97
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,306.47
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,759.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.17
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$93.78
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,447.68
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.2
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,337.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,493.37
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,540.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.67
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,768.72
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,339.35
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152.32
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,300
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.99
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$966
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)backed Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.3
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$1,859.7
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.53
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,802.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,364.99
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$703.16
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$773.84
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$591.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.71
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,920
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$841.19
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,400
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.79
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Abacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.53
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerbacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$345
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.69
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.86
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$1,202.53
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.2
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$99.46
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.99
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.16
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.11
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$833.14
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.83
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,277.63
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,263.42
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)backed PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.61
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$242.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.56
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.04
Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$508.5
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,123.6
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$420
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,912.45
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.48
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,181.04
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.63
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$133.65
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,798Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,871.75
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,913Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,155.88
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.09
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.02
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,525
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$272.21
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.27
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$199.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,635.81
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$561.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$210.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.