TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$636,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$699,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION55c110,400$60,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,359.971,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed PARIVISION34c80,274$27,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,416.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked Team Falcons42c76,415$32,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,320.694055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed PARIVISION53c51,080$26,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,980.083438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed PARIVISION62c41,117$25,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,510.640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons69c39,858$27,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,355.9822848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons43c35,289$15,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,998.6633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Team Falcons69c21,849$15,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,791.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Falcons42c20,166$8,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,694.24658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons47c19,415$9,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,290.1727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons43c12,991$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,422.8313346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons68c12,950$8,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.0955751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Team Falcons50c10,850$5,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.424734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons53c10,318$5,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.6943049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Team Falcons47c10,022$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,311.88875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+71.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons55c8,026$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.4396645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION56c8,018$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,490.115848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed PARIVISION53c7,759$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons41c7,711$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.17060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons47c6,871$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.856354%34 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION58c6,603$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,83017546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons49c6,321$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.7322842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons70c6,160$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8734650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9815544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons42c5,754$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.964751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION36c5,663$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.4546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons49c4,994$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.611,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked PARIVISION57c4,956$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.1811557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Team Falcons43c4,875$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed Team Falcons42c4,817$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.024348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Team Falcons47c4,672$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked PARIVISION57c4,667$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.616553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked PARIVISION53c4,388$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6438…fc41backed Team Falcons64c4,357$2,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.212050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f1…fa00backed Team Falcons43c4,235$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.952433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Team Falcons47c3,869$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Falcons44c3,866$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.7412630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION57c3,762$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.5334544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Team Falcons70c3,725$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.789948.5%48 W · 51 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons43c3,521$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.0323653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Team Falcons47c3,504$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Team Falcons42c3,277$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.011747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons53c3,262$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.541,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Team Falcons40c3,224$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.423333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Team Falcons43c3,200$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.443141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9000…93d9backed Team Falcons41c3,183$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Team Falcons47c3,124$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.931560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION44c3,013$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.022,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Team Falcons68c2,926$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.373943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION58c2,895$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.7543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed PARIVISION31c2,792$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.687243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons56c2,601$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.821,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons68c2,355$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Falcons51c2,292$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.2418544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons45c2,136$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.2610546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed PARIVISION53c2,112$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.523342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed PARIVISION53c2,074$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.439946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…eab7backed Team Falcons47c2,032$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.517100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+165.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed PARIVISION53c2,013$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.34845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Team Falcons44c2,007$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.475251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9907058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Team Falcons44c1,981$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.034951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION52c1,979$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.6467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed PARIVISION52c1,953$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3615950.3%80 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons43c1,950$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.4981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Team Falcons48c1,938$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.555747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Team Falcons48c1,925$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.829428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed PARIVISION50c1,836$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.7129347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked PARIVISION56c1,828$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.554161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb5c…33a6backed PARIVISION59c1,793$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION56c1,785$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.641351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION46c1,773$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.7971142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed PARIVISION53c1,752$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.469850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons66c1,750$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.4956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed Team Falcons48c1,735$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddde…dacdbacked Team Falcons47c1,655$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons49c1,640$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.61,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION45c1,634$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.9922363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons43c1,599$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.5330336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked PARIVISION53c1,597$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…7b28backed PARIVISION58c1,585$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed PARIVISION32c1,563$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.787429.7%22 W · 52 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc39c…019bbacked PARIVISION31c1,546$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons49c1,484$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.739754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed PARIVISION53c1,451$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.023023.3%7 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Team Falcons47c1,448$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.341442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…d883backed Team Falcons42c1,440$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION26c1,314$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons46c1,286$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked PARIVISION57c1,250$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.526741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION53c1,250$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Falcons43c1,183$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.3337549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons43c1,167$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9415147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e459backed PARIVISION37c1,147$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons44c1,098$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9829160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed PARIVISION53c1,084$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Team Falcons68c1,076$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.764445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed PARIVISION35c1,050$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.232241.6%134 W · 188 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Team Falcons53c1,037$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.515949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…5658backed Team Falcons47c1,031$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.