TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eae…eab7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 64 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$133
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$365.95
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$100.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.71
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$2,016.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.74
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$628.26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.68
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.65
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.92
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$297.99
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$456.9
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.64
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick71cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.95
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.92
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$41.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$23.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+165.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$340
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$1,077.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+293.3%+$1,236.43
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,126.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$151.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$411.75
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$200.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$337.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.