Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8190154aaa4665e458e1bfcd9a3343cbe4a533a9976fb20992002358f4754f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed LYON | 79c | 20,906$16,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.72 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Disguised | 17c | 12,685$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.16 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed LYON | 74c | 10,630$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.7 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 24c | 6,654$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.28 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 28c | 6,009$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.36 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 30c | 6,001$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.07 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed LYON | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 27c | 5,056$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.85 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 30c | 4,120$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.9 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed LYON | 73c | 3,916$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.02 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked LYON | 68c | 3,304$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.85 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 26c | 3,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked LYON | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LYON | 80c | 2,669$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.91 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed LYON | 67c | 2,299$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.77 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LYON | 70c | 2,250$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Disguised | 26c | 2,100$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 25c | 1,956$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.46 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Disguised | 33c | 1,909$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.84 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Disguised | 26c | 1,722$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.72 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Disguised | 28c | 1,345$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.67 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Disguised | 35c | 1,220$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Disguised | 24c | 1,097$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed LYON | 68c | 1,050$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Disguised | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 31c | 907.12$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Disguised | 31c | 905$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Disguised | 24c | 781.91$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Disguised | 26c | 740$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Disguised | 26c | 740$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Disguised | 26c | 740$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed LYON | 74c | 665.4$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.21 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked LYON | 79c | 662.77$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LYON | 77c | 651.16$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LYON | 68c | 650$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed LYON | 76c | 648.88$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked LYON | 77c | 640.39$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Disguised | 26c | 623$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LYON | 70c | 596.58$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Disguised | 26c | 592$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed LYON | 79c | 591.34$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 35c | 563.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 25c | 555$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Disguised | 35c | 553.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Disguised | 37c | 544.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LYON | 73c | 538.8$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LYON | 65c | 505.37$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Disguised | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed Disguised | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Disguised | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Disguised | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Disguised | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Disguised | 13c | 469.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Disguised | 29c | 450.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON | 69c | 420.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Disguised | 25c | 402.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked LYON | 74c | 397.26$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LYON | 69c | 392.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed LYON | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Disguised | 25c | 314.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LYON | 68c | 308.84$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed LYON | 78c | 302.5$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Disguised | 8c | 298$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed LYON | 68c | 296.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 29c | 279.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Disguised | 30c | 266.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked LYON | 74c | 264.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 22c | 256.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed LYON | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Disguised | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed LYON | 80c | 240.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Disguised | 35c | 237.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Disguised | 10c | 232.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed LYON | 79c | 230.89$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked LYON | 75c | 226.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Disguised | 28c | 216.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5484backed LYON | 71c | 206.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed LYON | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed LYON | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked LYON | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 32c | 196.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked LYON | 65c | 195.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Disguised | 38c | 193.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked LYON | 79c | 186.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Disguised | 26c | 184.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Disguised | 25c | 180.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked Disguised | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked LYON | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed LYON | 66c | 148.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Disguised | 13c | 142.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed LYON | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Disguised | 31c | 139.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Disguised | 22c | 136.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed LYON | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed LYON | 69c | 122.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LYON | 76c | 122.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked LYON | 79c | 120.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Disguised | 25c | 120.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Disguised | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed LYON | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.