Lol · resolved market
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b88501f0f6d07c2f76d7d7a4c21fd2232731929b3cbb8f2713a557d1b58dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeed5…7f92backed Disguised | 8c | 11,062$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Disguised | 4c | 6,876$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 75c | 5,766$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.63 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 8c | 4,548$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.1 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 6c | 3,346$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Disguised | 10c | 2,650$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 6c | 2,435$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Disguised | 8c | 1,776$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Disguised | 6c | 1,703$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 26c | 1,544$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.82 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Disguised | 3c | 1,497$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed LYON | 73c | 1,426$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 24c | 1,394$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.9 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Disguised | 8c | 1,328$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Disguised | 25c | 1,215$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.82 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Disguised | 1c | 1,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Disguised | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LYON | 75c | 990.97$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LYON | 76c | 879.6$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Disguised | 27c | 826.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Disguised | 19c | 825.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Disguised | 25c | 795.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised | 25c | 784.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed LYON | 75c | 776.42$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 26c | 716.7$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Disguised | 27c | 670.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Disguised | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Disguised | 11c | 557.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LYON | 74c | 554.62$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked LYON | 76c | 521.84$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Disguised | 25c | 515.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Disguised | 27c | 439.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Disguised | 6c | 416.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Disguised | 7c | 407.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Disguised | 12c | 399.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Disguised | 24c | 381.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Disguised | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised | 8c | 371.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed LYON | 76c | 317.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Disguised | 8c | 223.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…9429backed Disguised | 23c | 211.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Disguised | 25c | 199.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Disguised | 28c | 191.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 27c | 185.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Disguised | 25c | 163.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Disguised | 14c | 134.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…ab5abacked Disguised | 24c | 128.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…2830backed Disguised | 24c | 123.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked LYON | 76c | 116.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed LYON | 76c | 114.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 212 | 67%142 W · 70 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 22c | 95.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Disguised | 23c | 91.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…556cbacked Disguised | 15c | 86.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c3…376abacked Disguised | 22c | 85.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Disguised | 17c | 77.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LYON | 75c | 70.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed LYON | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 349 | 60.2%210 W · 139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed LYON | 73c | 66.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LYON | 75c | 63.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Disguised | 27c | 62.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Disguised | 26c | 60.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed LYON | 73c | 60.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked LYON | 74c | 59.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Disguised | 22c | 59.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…90b7backed LYON | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Disguised | 22c | 51.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Disguised | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked LYON | 73c | 44.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed LYON | 73c | 41.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Disguised | 29c | 35.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed LYON | 76c | 33.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked LYON | 77c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked LYON | 77c | 28.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 133 | 72.2%96 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.