Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6939069d36ad63a9f7fcafa91b627a3f373a3264ab0347c1a5e042c5f7d1f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,852,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,531,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,852,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 945 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 25c | 129,328$32,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,490.18 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 13c | 120,895$15,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,596.7 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 17c | 61,947$10,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,480.91 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 12c | 50,470$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.34 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 23c | 45,715$10,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,562.56 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 37c | 34,085$12,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750.64 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 79c | 32,412$25,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.66 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 13c | 31,528$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.33 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 14c | 30,563$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.31 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 76c | 26,215$19,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.23 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…88eebacked No | 60c | 22,545$13,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 73c | 18,254$13,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.24 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 9c | 16,594$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.38 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 37c | 15,190$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.99 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 12c | 12,698$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.13 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 9c | 12,639$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.37 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 15c | 11,912$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.62 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 11,426$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 68c | 11,301$7,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.89 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 23c | 11,246$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 63c | 11,142$7,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.29 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 11c | 10,043$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.2 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.77 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked No | 74c | 9,630$7,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 8,783$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.09 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 30c | 8,696$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 80c | 8,553$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 9c | 8,326$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.26 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…6cbdbacked Yes | 12c | 8,009$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +129%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed No | 74c | 7,973$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.69 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…4cd4backed Yes | 38c | 7,916$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +420.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 65c | 7,846$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.62 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 22c | 7,404$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.22 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 12c | 7,157$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.42 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 25c | 6,948$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.35 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 29c | 6,775$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.79 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes | 5c | 6,742$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 6,652$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 62c | 6,599$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.98 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 6,471$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.95 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 73c | 6,332$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.48 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 21c | 6,173$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.25 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 30c | 6,038$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.15 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…99c0backed Yes | 13c | 5,891$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 5,834$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…d424backed Yes | 33c | 5,821$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 8c | 5,779$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.06 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 11c | 5,565$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.71 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 56c | 5,358$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…cf02backed Yes | 39c | 5,344$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed No | 66c | 5,188$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 13c | 5,132$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.75 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…afa7backed Yes | 0c | 5,063$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked Yes | 23c | 4,999$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.52 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 23c | 4,970$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 16c | 4,945$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.03 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…6f1ebacked No | 72c | 4,869$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 39c | 4,724$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.1 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 32c | 4,488$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…a780backed No | 75c | 4,483$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…e0c5backed Yes | 30c | 4,469$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,393$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…724abacked Yes | 46c | 4,360$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 70c | 4,297$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.89 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 10c | 4,178$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.32 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,101$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7965backed Yes | 3c | 4,047$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…0e83backed Yes | 11c | 4,002$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +391%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 17c | 4,000$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2222…3f39backed Yes | 18c | 3,960$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…79eebacked Yes | 16c | 3,861$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.08 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…2f81backed Yes | 12c | 3,844$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +405.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 42c | 3,839$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.98 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 13c | 3,791$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.51 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,762$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.83 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,689$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…1a7cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,615$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +268%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 10c | 3,578$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.82 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…44e8backed Yes | 28c | 3,560$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…7a6ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,509$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Yes | 36c | 3,509$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed No | 71c | 3,392$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 37c | 3,351$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.64 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 45c | 3,240$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…d4ecbacked Yes | 5c | 3,223$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…9137backed Yes | 22c | 3,186$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed No | 73c | 3,184$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…0c69backed Yes | 19c | 3,158$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 6c | 3,076$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 15c | 3,057$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed No | 64c | 2,921$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…919dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,917$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.