TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2673…7965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid+36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+5,153.2%+$1,215.64
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$43.27
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.59
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+251.4%+$31.93
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.64
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$14.97
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$113.47
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.87
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.56
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$28.3
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+167.4%+$76.67
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyerbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$33.95
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+137.1%+$33.48
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.99
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$26.13
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$73.06
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.31
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.98
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$16.92
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+65%+$19.75
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatekbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.61
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$16.39
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$46.73
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.49
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$21.98
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.84
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.1
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+299.3%+$39.62
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$70.64
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$63.56
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-59%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+210%+$50.13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+216.1%+$158.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.28
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.95
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.2
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$24.52
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+258.2%+$38.29
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.03
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.94
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+357.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+357.9%+$386.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$25.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.