TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed No73c26,303$19,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.645752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes24c17,763$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3501127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c10,016$7,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.0768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c7,352$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.8313839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No72c7,343$5,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.131952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes29c6,811$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c6,357$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.942,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c5,783$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.8649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c4,191$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.994663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes27c2,671$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.094955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Yes28c2,317$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No72c2,222$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.163363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,150$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes22c1,893$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes27c1,808$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.167945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc60…66a2backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No72c1,670$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.531741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes14c1,617$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes28c1,600$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44810940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c1,525$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8812731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes27c1,179$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3314258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c1,059$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes23c1,057$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Yes10c970$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes20c964.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.912347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes23c875.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes15c866.54$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2711053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes29c856.45$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.374837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed No74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c779.95$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c714$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9227226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed No74c671.62$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.622450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes27c579$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.332360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Yes9c549.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes26c501.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2521548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c465.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes28c462.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.626848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes9c447.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.212035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c430.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.379950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c406.72$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.414374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c399.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c397.46$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes13c366.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4750%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2812…9c8bbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes17c355.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No77c339.88$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes28c339.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes24c310$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.412920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes25c307.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.695547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes28c274.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.896845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes30c267.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.333246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes30c239.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.958342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5019…f8b7backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5451…1acbbacked Yes24c230.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes24c229.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-73.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c224.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No73c219.18$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.186050%30 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes30c196.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.71926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes28c186$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes28c172.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.274744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes15c169.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.473345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No78c161$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.984156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c154.62$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No70c153.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4311547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.510549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No74c148.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6512565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes25c138.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes10c135.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes25c132.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.754247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8713366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes25c121$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.815844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes24c116.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No78c108.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.435538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c108.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes24c107.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+41.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.