TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1633…1e55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8124.7%20 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.5
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.45
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.1
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$297
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.48
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.84
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$760.07
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.17
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$169.1
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.01
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5836.2%21 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$194.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$197.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$48.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$108.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$168.81
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$344
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.17
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$83.37
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$65.5
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.4
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.8
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+199%+$619
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$284.06
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.59
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$248.54
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$38.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$189.6
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.1
Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.1
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$49.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$220.8
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Shanghai Sharks vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$60.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.24
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.74
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.