TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c19,954$11,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,871.485,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes55c19,153$10,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,661.572,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No63c15,272$9,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,634.8817249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes34c14,710$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,708.4317753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.078132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c2,237$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.641,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c1,965$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.961,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes34c1,355$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.43423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503627.8%10 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c1,241$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.132,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Yes58c1,129$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.853164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No61c741.2$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.7339058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes40c740$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44421830.7%67 W · 151 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc199…a956backed Yes65c616.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Yes42c523.81$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c503.99$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes3c500$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851526.7%4 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick3cpaid+663.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes41c485.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3728532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes67c474.78$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0425653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No35c472.18$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.61,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes68c462.33$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.924247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes69c451.47$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1230548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5311546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No65c397.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.531,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c386.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.541,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes34c367.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.165538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c327.01$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.271,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c303.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2889955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17111030.9%34 W · 76 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7122642.5%96 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes64c279.47$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.471758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Yes35c274.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.291540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes57c261.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.511457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes69c260.45$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes24c253.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8118542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes59c247.44$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4533452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes46c241.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.31353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes49c240.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.772770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes64c239.63$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2217440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes25c208.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No34c201.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6810846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.056738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes35c194.29$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2925742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes60c180.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No49c170.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.534537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes30c170$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1192100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick31cpaid+228%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c168.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.91,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ba…09d2backed Yes66c166.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes39c166.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.082450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No75c156.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6526052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.257042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No33c154.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6213956.1%78 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes31c152.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.194129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5210041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Yes46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes44c149.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8514037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31da…3f17backed Yes68c147.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes72c146.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed Yes44c144.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No59c144.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.155761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes55c144.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4819268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.863850%19 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…a862backed Yes11c136.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes59c134.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7110843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes28c129.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3240448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes59c128.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.435729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ee…69e6backed Yes23c128$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes11c127.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3836142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes34c121.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes64c118.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.766147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No60c117.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8515470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes42c117.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2312535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e08…535cbacked Yes65c115.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes11c112$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.685738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.112441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No62c109.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6115971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes37c107.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1438737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No39c106.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2940550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.051,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Yes44c101.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.952040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No43c101$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4714247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5227639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No37c99.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.774753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No61c96.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.556759.7%40 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Yes26c93.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.112864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Yes79c92.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.13256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b37…0eb2backed No59c91.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes30c91.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…c3c4backed Yes30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.