Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76793744c55b6f396dfdf0e4eab54c2c1218d025b5f56e00a0f5c6bd834c230b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 10c | 8,197$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.55 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 1,423$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.36 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 2c | 927.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 767.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 9c | 370$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…ae5dbacked Yes | 15c | 327$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 18c | 324.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 80c | 276.04$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 12c | 201.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Yes | 16c | 154.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 14c | 146.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 14c | 142.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 14c | 142.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 14c | 120.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 16c | 103.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 15c | 100.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 87.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 16c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 16c | 69.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 65.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…b9cdbacked Yes | 24c | 50.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 35.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 35.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.