Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x096646db8f7006d0da79d4f8c4d8f55be3e78c5a0af9ae49a6b2978a264bef18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 2,197$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.68 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,707$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.52 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,671$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 79c | 1,255$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,024$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 499.87$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 492.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 54c | 401.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Yes | 63c | 394.84$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 366.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 18c | 357.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 212.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 204.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 29c | 148.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 74c | 135.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Yes | 15c | 131.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 130.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes | 65c | 121.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 51c | 116.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 100.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 51c | 98.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 94.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…da94backed Yes | 74c | 88.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 23c | 85.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 22c | 65.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 24c | 62.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 50.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 48.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 47.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked No | 42c | 46.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 35c | 44.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 48c | 39.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 29c | 38.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…b2f3backed No | 43c | 34.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Yes | 74c | 33.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 66c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 61c | 16.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 79c | 14.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.