TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69cc…2e44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$128.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.64
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$85.82
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$132.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$153.65
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$390.89
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$331.67
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$292.18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$122.29
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$439.97
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$569.94
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$357.59
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$176.71
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$214.31
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$185.57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.86
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$69.87
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$29.22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$26.15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.58
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+115%+$162.47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.61
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$171.11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+198.9%+$217.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,204.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$652.09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$96.74
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$1,298.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$427.34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$776.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$65.51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.93
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$458.25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$526.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$368.32
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$157.6
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$99.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$995
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Noemi Basilettibacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,343.25
Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Virtanenbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.5
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.11
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.04
Set 1 Winner: Sonego vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$37.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,814.14
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.6
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$335.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$268.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$419.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$59.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$170.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$41.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.