TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under54c80,000$43,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,828.3555053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c33,420$15,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,368.7410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over46c26,975$12,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,408.58633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over46c9,248$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.0823538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over46c3,350$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54139047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c2,440$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.684,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over46c2,054$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under54c1,689$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.9475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over48c1,515$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.1811741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Under55c1,266$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.942867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,050$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.668,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Over47c944.5$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.479250%46 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over46c942$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.3292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c878.65$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.186,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c680.54$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over46c469.07$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.197635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c440$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Over46c433.54$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c425.49$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.244,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Over49c414.36$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4557744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c407.27$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over46c363.43$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1812449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Under55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c258.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.141,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Over46c229.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.442948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9859150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c1…da5fbacked Over49c186.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over42c185$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.496,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over46c170.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4628154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over46c166$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3613452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Over46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Over46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c159$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.731,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under55c141.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.697558.7%44 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1410860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over38c130.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.185,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c128.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.072,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3823051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over46c100.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4228850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4617058.2%99 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under55c80.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0424350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.822554.7%123 W · 102 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c68.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.831,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under64c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.061,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4455847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1423248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.553644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28be…03fcbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c53.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316553.3%88 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1532166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c41.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.722,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1121353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under58c37.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a9…c9a5backed Over46c36.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94b4…1eccbacked Over35c30.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4114358.7%84 W · 59 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under52c27.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3214353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under55c27.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2914047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd6…6939backed Under55c26.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.578155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under62c24.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.181,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.745,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7312349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under53c21.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under58c20.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6482551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Under53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.933658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under68c17.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5220764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under67c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6139344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.