TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94b4…1ecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$7.42
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Wang vs Hercogbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Christian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.