NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7127add716af440fae349975b61acd9f9a5326728b6c2f5b9714c18e40892d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic | 65c | 115,381$74,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,783.08 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons | 31c | 46,530$14,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,962.94 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Pistons | 29c | 37,744$10,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,798.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons | 55c | 35,611$19,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,046.47 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Magic | 58c | 35,000$20,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,331.89 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Pistons | 29c | 33,644$9,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,996.58 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Pistons | 29c | 32,500$9,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,075 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 21c | 24,904$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.98 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 29c | 18,378$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,134.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 41c | 15,742$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,222.73 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Magic | 27c | 15,110$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.97 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Magic | 24c | 14,544$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.41 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Magic | 57c | 12,160$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 73c | 11,258$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Pistons | 69c | 9,278$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Pistons | 29c | 8,589$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Pistons | 47c | 8,544$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.65 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Magic | 45c | 8,306$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Pistons | 72c | 8,123$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pistons | 55c | 5,056$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.06 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Pistons | 69c | 5,052$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.86 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Magic | 35c | 4,989$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.16 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…58fcbacked Pistons | 29c | 4,119$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +848.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Pistons | 73c | 4,086$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.22 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pistons | 41c | 4,056$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.71 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons | 75c | 3,958$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.62 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Pistons | 43c | 3,955$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.07 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 25c | 3,867$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.76 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Magic | 30c | 3,542$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.54 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b44ebacked Magic | 28c | 3,424$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Pistons | 75c | 3,369$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…b042backed Magic | 47c | 2,667$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Magic | 25c | 2,557$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.39 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Pistons | 74c | 2,516$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…1385backed Pistons | 73c | 2,428$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed Pistons | 29c | 2,357$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Magic | 54c | 2,236$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…165bbacked Pistons | 29c | 2,093$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Magic | 30c | 2,087$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.03 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…06bdbacked Pistons | 29c | 2,051$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Pistons | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Pistons | 75c | 2,000$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…5448backed Magic | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Pistons | 43c | 1,910$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…000fbacked Magic | 48c | 1,856$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +865.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8300…9b91backed Pistons | 29c | 1,854$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Magic | 56c | 1,826$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.99 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Pistons | 53c | 1,762$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…9703backed Pistons | 29c | 1,739$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…f3ebbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,705$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…2990backed Pistons | 29c | 1,646$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Magic | 32c | 1,564$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.34 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Pistons | 44c | 1,552$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26e…d23fbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,519$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…d900backed Pistons | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Magic | 72c | 1,495$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.88 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Magic | 47c | 1,484$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…3872backed Magic | 73c | 1,477$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2870…70d0backed Pistons | 29c | 1,372$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…1c62backed Pistons | 29c | 1,363$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…51a9backed Magic | 73c | 1,352$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…07d4backed Magic | 51c | 1,338$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Pistons | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54eb…f90fbacked Magic | 72c | 1,197$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…2121backed Pistons | 74c | 1,196$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Pistons | 76c | 1,178$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Pistons | 57c | 1,166$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.27 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Pistons | 73c | 1,157$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Magic | 34c | 1,136$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Magic | 29c | 1,122$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Magic | 57c | 1,094$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.38 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…f2b5backed Magic | 28c | 1,075$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…14c6backed Magic | 15c | 1,060$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Magic | 30c | 1,013$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.83 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Pistons | 68c | 1,002$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pistons | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Pistons | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Pistons | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Pistons | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Pistons | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Pistons | 30c | 990.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Magic | 26c | 989.07$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Magic | 34c | 960.4$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Pistons | 61c | 914.09$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Magic | 16c | 894.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…c644backed Pistons | 56c | 877.98$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 36c | 869.13$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Pistons | 68c | 865.07$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787e…5ba2backed Pistons | 57c | 852.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…e04abacked Pistons | 28c | 844.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Magic | 25c | 800$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Pistons | 68c | 796.1$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Magic | 56c | 794.72$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pistons | 47c | 773.88$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.37 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Magic | 70c | 715$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Magic | 30c | 714.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…d54abacked Pistons | 29c | 704.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +739.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Pistons | 70c | 701.43$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.