TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c9d…8715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.28
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.26
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$142.09
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$328.88
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.56
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$366.9
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.72
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$614.97
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.59
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$158.91
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Fernandezbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.91
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.65
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$112.23
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$118.09
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$209.68
Alexander Blockx vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$220.22
Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.23
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$73.38
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.46
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Medjedovicbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.93
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.2
Zeynep Sonmez vs. Jasmine Paolini: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.49
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$130.52
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$466.33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.78
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$141.31
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$544.08
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$203.35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.16
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$144.45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.69
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$332.05
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$506.79
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$141.19
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.76
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+62%+$172.01
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$149.29
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.55
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.12
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.12
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+360.7%+$660.66
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.48
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+61.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$253.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+46%+$62.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.