Tennis · resolved market
Alexander Blockx vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3204e0a0420e022e9b34d5d1e092af10bcf6cc9341acc747019bf97b404aa5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 1,053$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Under 2.5 | 67c | 723.21$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Under 2.5 | 62c | 586.83$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over 2.5 | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 430.09$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 409.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Under 2.5 | 68c | 389.44$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 309.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 186.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under 2.5 | 59c | 99.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 48c | 85.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Over 2.5 | 46c | 73.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 59.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 51.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over 2.5 | 39c | 46.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Over 2.5 | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over 2.5 | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Blockx vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton won
- Blockx vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs SheltonShelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Shelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.