Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98fba148c0a25ae7639fd95c889048a5b8ad4253dc795d773564e892d4bd72df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Shelton | 38c | 493.84$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blockx | 62c | 423$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shelton | 31c | 355.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Blockx | 70c | 350.92$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Blockx | 48c | 324.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…8cf6backed Shelton | 66c | 318.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Blockx | 43c | 312.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Blockx | 49c | 308.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shelton | 30c | 292.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Shelton | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Shelton | 56c | 174.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Blockx | 70c | 148$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Shelton | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Shelton | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blockx | 62c | 112.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shelton | 36c | 111.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Blockx | 68c | 104$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 276 | 67%185 W · 91 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Shelton | 48c | 101.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Shelton | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Shelton | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Blockx | 58c | 99.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Shelton | 57c | 97.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Shelton | 69c | 91.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Blockx | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Shelton | 40c | 57.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Blockx | 67c | 50.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Shelton | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…4968backed Shelton | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Shelton | 64c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Blockx | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Blockx | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton won
- Blockx vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs SheltonShelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.