TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1c9…748c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.3
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$137.89
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$14.31
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$464
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,211.99
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.13
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$6.33
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$27.85
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$61.55
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Marino: Pedro Martinez vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$15.27
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Lin Zhubacked Lin Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsibacked Khololwam Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayevabacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$26.76
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.09
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broadybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travagliabacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.81
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Sinner (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Madrid: Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigatobacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.67
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+255.8%+$467.29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.08
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$311.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Spread: Nuggets (-23.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$12.9
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.9%+$139.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)backed Pohang Steelers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$15.49
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)backed D.C. United SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
FC Dallas vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38%+$75.98
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$170.62
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+61.8%+$37.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.