TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.891,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c9,622$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.781,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c8,776$4,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.291,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c6,337$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.127650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c4,645$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.7910553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c4,269$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c4,205$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c2,555$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c2,356$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under61c2,276$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.091,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c2,156$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.681,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c1,991$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.499447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c1,959$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.7164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c1,903$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.821,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c1,889$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.9429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,626$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.812,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c1,288$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,165$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.0121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,073$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under47c1,055$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.771,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c1,034$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c1,011$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.3718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under64c737.54$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c724.03$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under51c678.18$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under59c642.86$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over49c595.94$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0812752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c573.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c522.65$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.661,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over49c520.14$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c506.1$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.991,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over44c493.47$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over48c492.59$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over29c486.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.522,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under62c444.7$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over48c442.32$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c428.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over49c396$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19440344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Under58c381.96$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.421369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.516046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under51c366.39$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under43c365.25$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.179139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over52c342.85$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2613253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c331.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.793,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c331.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.291,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over41c306.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over43c305.76$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c299.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.994445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under53c296.96$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783f…caa7backed Over49c285.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c276.14$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.015,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c263$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under52c252.14$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0333251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c249.6$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over49c239.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2822047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under49c235.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2233748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over50c221.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Over48c201.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.882441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c191.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2541449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2538453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over51c167.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5634247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Under64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.043964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c148.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.431,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c146.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2244747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c142.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under53c137.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6310345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e3…206fbacked Over44c130.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c120.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x492d…2f04backed Under74c119.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.132552%13 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over49c114.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.293956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over37c112.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c111$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over22c110.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8210523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under46c99.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Under52c98.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.512369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.561,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.639848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.826443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.823256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over44c85.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.731,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over50c84.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6936852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under51c83.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under51c83.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0240750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Under52c83.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.115053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over57c76.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.595448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c75.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.