TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5694…501c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Boxing at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.29
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$25.7
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.35
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$15.21
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.83
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$12.81
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.41
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 251.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$16.35
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.51
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$51.43
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.83
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$89.96
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.58
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.51
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$187.34
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$106.48
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$252.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112%+$24.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$317.41
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$25.16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.8%+$74.28
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.66
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$75.84
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$200.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$19.17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$153.92
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$81.81
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.84
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$38.39
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+118.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$126.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$87.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.