NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf0fa39d0a7251f29fd5212a78a8c632387a7f4f522172050f5842095ed2d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 52c | 109,283$56,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,314.99 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 49,535$24,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,862.7 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 17,947$9,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,152.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 17,891$8,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,269.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 14,381$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,095.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…272cbacked Over | 48c | 9,890$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Over | 48c | 8,573$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.95 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 7,241$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…df0fbacked Over | 48c | 6,261$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Over | 78c | 6,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Under | 52c | 5,865$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Over | 48c | 5,460$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 5,086$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.16 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 48c | 3,419$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 2,529$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.29 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.46 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Over | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 1,952$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.11 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 78c | 1,822$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,754$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,220$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.53 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Over | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.24 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 999.95$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 48c | 965$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.8 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 47c | 960.45$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 28c | 791.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.84 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…5bb2backed Under | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 521.06$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Over | 76c | 518.74$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 48c | 516.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 48c | 493.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 457.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 448.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 25c | 434.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Over | 47c | 431.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 407.45$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 391.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 390.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 24c | 390.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 48c | 339.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 50c | 338.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 24c | 334.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 24c | 333.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 24c | 308.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 24c | 306.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 32c | 288.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 287.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 28c | 265.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 48c | 245.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 239.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 31c | 225.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 48c | 222.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 201.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 31c | 200.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 24c | 190.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 51c | 188.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 176.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 176.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 47c | 168.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 47c | 154.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 153.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 147.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 48c | 136.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 48c | 125.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 48c | 124.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 31c | 117.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 117.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 76c | 116.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 50c | 115.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 14c | 112.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 109.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 104.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 99.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 14c | 82.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 49c | 78.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 49c | 76.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.