NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ffe39f17b1c439b613098fbcffa59bc554463ea5f884745494e685220930c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 53c | 14,593$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.14 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,775$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 52c | 2,235$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.27 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 1,930$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.57 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 1,888$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.73 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,408$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 1,404$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.78 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 1,396$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,006$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.89 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 628.42$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 617.83$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.9 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over | 51c | 550.66$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 545.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 50c | 402.66$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 347.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 332.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.78 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 213.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 199.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 197.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 190.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 50c | 176.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 144.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 28c | 136.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 48c | 114.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 54c | 109.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 44c | 109.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Over | 46c | 106.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 50c | 84.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 75.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 74.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Under | 53c | 67.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 60c | 63.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 51.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 50.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 50.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 50.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 53c | 50.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 53c | 49.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 50c | 48.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 27c | 37.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 33.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 52c | 33.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…d7a0backed Under | 49c | 32.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 51c | 32.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae7…399abacked Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 50c | 30.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 29.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…a913backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 52c | 27.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 52c | 27.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 45c | 25.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 49c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 46c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Under | 50c | 22.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 54c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.