NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6bf1ace7d8bea52cf59508f5d25a33e9479bae684c48f540debe196a1ab0b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,171,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,175,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,171,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 497,120$273,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,784.62 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 364,660$194,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,315.18 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 45c | 351,312$159,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,019.24 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Nuggets | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.96 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 45c | 99,133$44,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,921.05 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Nuggets | 45c | 86,000$38,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,915 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 45c | 74,420$33,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,748.37 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…9194backed Nuggets | 47c | 56,156$26,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,393.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 47c | 48,832$22,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,847.58 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 23,489$12,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,805.09 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 21,030$9,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,884.1 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 20,735$11,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,290.7 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 45c | 19,701$8,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,910.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 19,158$10,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812.72 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Nuggets | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.99 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 13,956$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 13,320$6,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,260.51 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 12,257$5,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.48 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 11,990$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.05 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 10,438$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.27 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 47c | 10,334$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.79 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,932$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 9,759$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 9,665$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 9,648$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.31 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,595$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 9,238$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,490$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.4 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 46c | 6,072$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 5,853$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.69 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 10c | 5,319$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.01 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 29c | 5,074$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 4,868$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.92 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Nuggets | 44c | 4,730$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,300$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.27 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Nuggets | 44c | 3,627$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.57 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Nuggets | 45c | 3,555$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.59 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,521$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,207$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.06 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 14c | 3,103$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.61 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets | 38c | 2,975$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.9 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 2,789$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.05 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b5afbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,662$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,611$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 32c | 2,497$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.42 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,451$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.25 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 2,375$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.37 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 37c | 2,161$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Nuggets | 15c | 1,993$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,766$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.02 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,639$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.32 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,429$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.95 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.98 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Nuggets | 5c | 1,185$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nuggets | 11c | 1,179$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.38 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,149$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.15 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,046$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.56 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,044$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.91 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Nuggets | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 954.98$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.84 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 943.37$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 910.05$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.13 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Nuggets | 50c | 862.54$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.67 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 841.16$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.87 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Nuggets | 50c | 814.8$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 12c | 788.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 766.32$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 698.09$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…238fbacked Nuggets | 4c | 682.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nuggets | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Nuggets | 46c | 584.77$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Nuggets | 33c | 582.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…3e7dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Nuggets | 48c | 577.01$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…1f6ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 546.11$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 543.78$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 463.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 433.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Nuggets | 46c | 420.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Nuggets | 47c | 410.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 45c | 406.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Trail Blazers | 76c | 401.58$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…5d81backed Nuggets | 37c | 387.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 384.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Nuggets | 27c | 383.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Nuggets | 47c | 376.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.