NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b452ea4d621b8292530ab23ac560d6e9d65a18c91a0aad3d87d7717a4fffd28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 10,067$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.45 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 9,822$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.42 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 8,817$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.39 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over | 50c | 7,643$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 7,576$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.23 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Over | 48c | 7,244$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.62 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 6,653$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 49c | 6,250$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.3 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Under | 48c | 5,712$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,134$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 49c | 2,547$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.09 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 2,455$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.11 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 2,397$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.9 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 2,373$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.92 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 2,373$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.92 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 43c | 2,250$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.46 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…e646backed Over | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5e9ebacked Over | 47c | 2,010$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 2,005$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,812$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 72c | 1,756$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 48c | 1,597$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.66 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 1,273$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.95 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.74 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 63c | 1,049$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.92 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 1,027$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.65 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 48c | 1,001$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under | 54c | 786.97$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 746.87$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 666.8$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 42c | 589.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 550.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 47c | 540.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 45c | 500$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 464.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 453.32$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 47c | 386.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 52c | 386.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 385.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 373.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 371.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 366.91$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 348$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 347.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 56c | 346.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 332.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 329.92$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 15c | 313.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 52c | 308.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 306.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 305.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 52c | 305.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 299.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 44c | 273.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 267.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 50c | 238.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 53c | 225.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 212.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 57c | 198.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 197.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 186.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 182.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 56c | 174.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 173.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 48c | 155$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 32c | 150.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 133.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 49c | 127.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 44c | 124.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 28c | 123.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 45c | 123.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 51c | 119.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 118.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…6bb6backed Under | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 106.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 105.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 105.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 55c | 101.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…e845backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 52c | 98.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Over | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 49c | 89.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…948abacked Under | 27c | 84.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5this page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.