NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x035d590313aa6738b3a69a8f89f6cfad83049d3a29504b724bf42e450a33ca1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Trail Blazers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,395,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,770,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,395,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 484,183$128,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,696.09 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Nuggets | 59c | 195,180$115,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,484.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Nuggets | 73c | 185,316$135,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,250.53 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 159,381$80,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,383.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 124,241$30,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,440.62 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Nuggets | 75c | 118,474$89,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,317.07 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaf…6c31backed Nuggets | 66c | 112,466$74,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,853.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 109,818$48,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,661.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…9194backed Nuggets | 21c | 107,394$22,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,152.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 58c | 103,519$60,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,324.19 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 100,709$27,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,113.95 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nuggets | 62c | 82,767$51,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,351.99 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 74,021$19,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,985.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Nuggets | 73c | 65,123$47,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,583.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 59,901$39,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,534.88 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…1bfabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 57,763$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 55,769$30,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,450 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 55,589$33,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,915.57 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Trail Blazers | 77c | 49,869$38,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,161.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Nuggets | 39c | 47,739$18,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,319.81 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 73c | 43,934$32,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,731.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 75c | 43,707$32,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,137.26 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 50c | 43,282$21,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,726.92 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 45c | 42,016$18,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,057.78 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 40,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.95 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 33,256$12,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,720.24 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 73c | 32,144$23,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,678.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 32,109$9,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,311.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 66c | 31,856$21,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810.38 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 75c | 31,133$23,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875.35 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 25c | 30,041$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,433.81 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Nuggets | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 28,939$15,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,734.05 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Nuggets | 34c | 26,853$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,723.2 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Nuggets | 15c | 25,311$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,614.88 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 73c | 24,953$18,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.37 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 23,620$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.65 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Nuggets | 62c | 23,548$14,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.72 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 23,422$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.43 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 73c | 22,784$16,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Nuggets | 63c | 21,949$13,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,041.36 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 20,848$12,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,615.27 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Nuggets | 57c | 20,843$11,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,991.75 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 36c | 20,390$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,102.11 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 19,844$7,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,793.03 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 79c | 19,833$15,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.71 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 47c | 19,727$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,437.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Nuggets | 39c | 19,242$7,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,665.04 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2c…4ec1backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 19,209$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.56 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 19,156$5,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.94 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Nuggets | 75c | 18,900$14,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 18,443$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.09 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…bce2backed Nuggets | 74c | 17,959$13,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets | 76c | 17,476$13,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.15 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 73c | 15,899$11,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Nuggets | 32c | 15,480$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,545.83 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Nuggets | 70c | 15,439$10,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 14,734$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.82 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Nuggets | 46c | 14,321$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800.53 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Nuggets | 73c | 14,000$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 34c | 13,937$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.36 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 73c | 13,857$10,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.36 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Nuggets | 61c | 13,735$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 73c | 13,690$9,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 13,576$9,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,469.19 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nuggets | 36c | 13,356$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,547.56 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 56c | 13,296$7,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.66 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…b7e9backed Nuggets | 26c | 13,109$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,765.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Nuggets | 26c | 12,621$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…a3d2backed Nuggets | 44c | 12,237$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Nuggets | 19c | 11,912$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.65 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 11,882$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Nuggets | 76c | 11,825$8,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 11,535$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.99 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 11,449$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 11,418$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.24 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 11,352$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Nuggets | 61c | 11,295$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.65 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Nuggets | 38c | 11,184$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.76 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 11,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Nuggets | 21c | 10,880$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.16 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Nuggets | 73c | 10,688$7,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 10,676$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 333 | 44.1%147 W · 186 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 10,501$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.37 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Nuggets | 65c | 10,491$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.98 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…d098backed Nuggets | 22c | 10,364$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,105.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Nuggets | 63c | 10,357$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Nuggets | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Nuggets | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Nuggets | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Nuggets | 75c | 9,240$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…bcfbbacked Nuggets | 69c | 9,134$6,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Trail Blazers | 79c | 8,999$7,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,109.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 8,992$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 8,985$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.53 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 8,798$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.67 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 73c | 8,788$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 8,634$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.15 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.