TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a88…b859

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst IPO at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,791.4
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$124,130
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.71
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$6,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,204.08
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.14
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$142.84
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.1
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$5,559.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.04
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.02
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$4,303.11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$9,875
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$505.06
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.92
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+597.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuzuhara vs. Zamora: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$32.52
Targu Mures: Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistajabacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$636.36
Marcos vs. Verdese: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+4,991.8%+$662.27
Wimbledon Juniors, Boys (Doubles): Behrmann/Thomas vs Ogunsakin/Raguinbacked Ogunsakin/Raguin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+242.2%+$360.24
Oeiras 4: Fiona Ferro vs Linda Klimovicovabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$87.05
Bolt vs. Wu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.15
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$61.05
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsenbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$865.64
ASB Classic, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.5%+$429.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$141.9
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.97
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47,540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$17,583.31
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,196.9
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+195.2%+$105.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.29
Will Laurent Blanc be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.77
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.77
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$35,939.24
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$15,873.56
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$30.8
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+284.6%+$458.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)backed Malmö FF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+366%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rasmus Hojlund: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+832%+$2,080.31
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$752.85
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$252.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+45%+$187.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Esteban Lepaul: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$75.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.6%+$1,243.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+34.6%+$278.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,642Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$2,625.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$12.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$715.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.