TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c24,027$11,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,402.51,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No6c14,988$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.414429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No58c11,812$6,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,882.9542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes42c11,491$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,683.7129446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No53c7,515$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.456355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c7,137$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.712,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a88…b859backed No2c5,707$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes37c5,141$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.5114443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c4,136$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.651,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c3,746$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c3,736$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.035,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes44c3,299$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.113141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes36c3,073$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.394936.7%18 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes76c2,962$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.8118160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c2,948$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.883,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c2,868$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.9965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes39c2,446$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.155050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No14c2,150$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1430841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No8c2,119$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.848740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2402766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Yes38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No63c1,686$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.312065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No31c1,563$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No21c1,432$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3818828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No4c1,290$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.613910.3%4 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No61c1,239$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.973151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No58c1,216$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.1420846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No65c1,116$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.3350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No61c1,057$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No11c1,056$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.821,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No16c1,053$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8816740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No5c997.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.12437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No64c961.11$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.1142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Yes44c918.98$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.632650%13 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes44c909.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No62c892.37$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.6347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c864.69$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.871,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes42c829.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.964847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No63c828.55$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No12c781.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No64c730.48$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.515168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed No14c700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+341.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No7c653.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5818338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes77c600$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5220065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes31c584$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.696647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes72c537.47$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No58c517.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes68c497$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8213373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c461$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.521,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes69c411.59$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes42c399.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9911245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes53c383.93$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.15343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c359.46$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.271,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No61c348.42$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.98155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No60c332.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c330$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.12,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No35c318.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.82774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c302.24$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.281,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+125%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No57c299.16$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5233266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No62c282.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No61c269.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.716944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c264.03$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.891,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No31c255.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7949535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes57c246.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.410750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.131745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No6c220.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.221,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes42c219$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0214540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes60c208.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No60c204.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5426160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No60c199.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No63c194.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.823345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No64c180$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0980…1306backed No58c175.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes66c156.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9811863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No58c154$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3222853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed No13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed No57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d86…9ecebacked Yes37c127.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes40c122.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes69c116.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.26352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No61c114.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No28c108.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.931,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Yes65c107.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.114158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No61c102.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.792564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No63c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes38c96.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6525955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked No16c95.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+176.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No65c89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.855060%30 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No34c88.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No22c87.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes39c86.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.761,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.